Airstrike
Hardliners Normally Are the Last Men Standing, and Trump Should Grant Their Wish to Fight to the Death
Iran Has Relied on Petrochemicals to Offset Restrictions on Crude Oil Exports
The Regime Maintains Around Ten Major Missile Cities, Alongside at Least Seventeen Additional Missile Bases
Washington Has Built up a Crisis-Response Network Capable of Amphibious Operations, Rapid Air Assault, and Swift Reinforcement
Tehran’s Rhetoric and Actions Point to a Regime That Sees Escalation as Leverage to Be Exploited
Many Countries May Try to Negotiate Arrangements with Tehran, to Avoid an Open-Ended Military Effort to Secure the Waterway
Tehran’s Rapid Retaliation Suggests That the Regime’s Decision-Making Structures Remain Functional
Sustained Strikes and the Removal of Senior Islamic Republic Figures Raise Questions About the Regime’s Durability
Destroying Guard Posts on the Island Sets the Stage for U.S. Forces to Occupy It and Protect Its Oil Facilities for a Post-War Economy
The Government Acknowledged Dozens of Casualties, Though Some Eyewitnesses Suggested the Number Was Higher
Intense Overnight Airstrikes Struck Tehran and the Nearby City of Karaj, a Social Media User Reported
If the Strait of Hormuz Remains Blocked for Several More Weeks, Global Oil Prices Could Rise to $120–$150 per Barrel
The Azerbaijani Exclave’s Geography Allows Iran to Demonstrate Military Reach While Minimizing the Risk of Direct Confrontation
Iran Targeted the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait Within Hours, Pointing to a Pre-Planned Regional Operation
Residents report intense bombing as missile launches decline and Iranian forces scramble to reorganize inside the capital.
Residents Report Hearing Loud Explosions but Say Most Strikes Are Precise, Targeting the Regime
Conflict in the Persian Gulf Strikes at the Core of India’s Economic and Strategic Interest
The U.S. and Israel Are Eliminating Senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Commanders Who Want Him in Place
Even Limited Damage Can Force Shutdowns, Suspend Exports, and Trigger Panic Across Energy Markets
Assessing the Balance of Power Is Difficult, but the Regime Appears Unstable and Its Command Structure Uncertain