Mardo Soghom

Articles by this Author
Military Officials May Believe the Civilian Governing Structure Is Too Fragmented and Indecisive to Manage the Country
Iran’s Broader Objective Appears to Be the Gradual Decoupling of Arab Oil Producers of the Persian Gulf from the U.S. Security Umbrella
Activists Warn That Signing the Agreement Could Mean Many Iranians Will Accuse Trump of Abandoning the Iranian People
Factions Within Tehran’s Power Structure May Have an Interest in Encouraging Such Conspiracy Theories
Tehran Claims Trump Is in a No-Win Situation, Zigzagging Between Negotiations and Threats of Renewed Military Action
The Regime Presents Even Symbolic Contacts with Major Western Leaders as Evidence That Powerful Countries Are Appealing to It
The Apparent Objective Is to Project Continuity, Control, and Leadership at the Top of Iran’s Patronage-Heavy System
Even the Israeli Government Is Largely Silent, Avoiding Direct Threats Against Tehran and Refraining from Contradicting the U.S.
Tehran Claims to Have Issued an Ultimatum and Suggests Washington Has Effectively Accepted Its Conditions for Negotiations
The Strait’s Closure Disrupts the Flow of More than 20 Percent of the World’s Oil and Gas Supplies
The Use of Media Criticism and Symbolic Acts like Graffiti Suggests That Internal Discipline Is Loosening at the Margins
Every Month, Iran Needs to Import Around $1.3 Billion of Essential Commodities
Unless a Meaningful Rift Emerges Within the Guard Itself, Claims of Significant Internal Leadership Divisions Are Overstated
Some Observers Say Trump’s Extended Ceasefire Reflects a Fragile Stalemate in Which neither Side Wants to Resume War nor Compromise
Faces Pressures from the Naval Blockade, Which Affects Its Imports of Essential Goods and Export of Oil
Iran’s Hardliners Have Accused the Negotiating Team of Treason for Reportedly Agreeing to Some U.S. Demands
Either Trump Made Optimistic Assumptions or He Embarrassed Tehran by Claiming What Essentially Amounted to an Iranian Surrender
The Trump Administration’s Optimism About a ‘New Regime’ in Tehran Might Be a Rushed Judgment
The Blockage Would Cut Roughly $280 Million a Day in Iran’s Export Revenues and Disrupt Another $160 Million in Imports
The Delegation Itself Has Become a Visible Expression of Internal Fragmentation