Mardo Soghom

Articles by this Author
Nour News Framed the Postponement of Talks Not as a Crisis but as Part of a Broader Struggle over the Post-War Order
Tehran Seeks Not Only a Deal with Washington but Also a Regional Framework That Makes Future Military Pressure More Costly
There Is Growing Unease as Debate Intensifies over the Costs of a Confrontational Foreign Policy and the Country’s Direction
Iran’s Foreign Minister Reassured Hardliners That Negotiations Do Not Represent Political Rapprochement with the United States
Iran’s Negotiator Suggests That the Regime Is Simultaneously Pursuing Negotiations and Calibrated Military Escalation
Iran May Believe That Escalation Can Alter the Strategic Equation, Increase Pressure on Washington, and Secure Concessions
Trump Continues to Express Optimism About Reaching a Deal, Despite Little Evidence That One Is Within Reach
The Gap Between Washington’s Optimism and Tehran’s Rhetoric Suggests the Two Sides Are Not Negotiating with the Same Assumptions
Military Officials May Believe the Civilian Governing Structure Is Too Fragmented and Indecisive to Manage the Country
Iran’s Broader Objective Appears to Be the Gradual Decoupling of Arab Oil Producers of the Persian Gulf from the U.S. Security Umbrella
Activists Warn That Signing the Agreement Could Mean Many Iranians Will Accuse Trump of Abandoning the Iranian People
Factions Within Tehran’s Power Structure May Have an Interest in Encouraging Such Conspiracy Theories
Tehran Claims Trump Is in a No-Win Situation, Zigzagging Between Negotiations and Threats of Renewed Military Action
The Regime Presents Even Symbolic Contacts with Major Western Leaders as Evidence That Powerful Countries Are Appealing to It
The Apparent Objective Is to Project Continuity, Control, and Leadership at the Top of Iran’s Patronage-Heavy System
Even the Israeli Government Is Largely Silent, Avoiding Direct Threats Against Tehran and Refraining from Contradicting the U.S.
Tehran Claims to Have Issued an Ultimatum and Suggests Washington Has Effectively Accepted Its Conditions for Negotiations
The Strait’s Closure Disrupts the Flow of More than 20 Percent of the World’s Oil and Gas Supplies
The Use of Media Criticism and Symbolic Acts like Graffiti Suggests That Internal Discipline Is Loosening at the Margins
Every Month, Iran Needs to Import Around $1.3 Billion of Essential Commodities