US Military
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s Death Led to Greater Decentralization of the Regime and a More Collective, Securitized Decision-Making System
Mitigating the Threats from Iran, Yemen, and Iraq Will Require Cooperation Among the U.S., Saudi Arabia, Israel, and the United Arab Emirates
Avenging the Supreme Leader’s Death in the War Is State Policy, and Iranian Media and Officials Reflect It
Trump Could Still Decide to Win the War, Though He Would Need to Defy Opponents from Both Ends of the Spectrum
Souda Gives the United States an Operating Point Outside the Middle East but Close Enough to Support Missions There
The Houthis Claim Two Wrecked Air Bases and Yanbu Ablaze. The Satellites Show Damaged Houses and One Burned Fuel Tank in Riyadh
Erdoğan Won’t Test Turkey’s Military Prowess Because Its Army Is an Empty Shell and Its Navy Is in Worse Shape
Iran Favors Asymmetric Target Substitution, Shifting the Burden Toward High-Value, Vulnerable Western-Aligned Strategic Assets
Iran So Far Has Adapted to the Conditions the United States Has Imposed on It
Neither Tehran nor Washington Has Found Enough Leverage to Force a Retreat
The Iranian President, Flag Officers, and Intelligence Chief Should Rise to Their Positions Knowing They Will Have a Lifespan of Weeks, If Not Days
The Island of Abu Musa Has Been Rumored to Be One of Iran’s Main Repositories for Chemical Weapons.
A More Robust U.S. Presence in Somaliland Is Necessary to Handle the Logistics of Resupply and Provide Air Defense
The Regime Media Continue to Portray the Current Phase of the War as Unprovoked, Omitting Iran’s Assaults on Shipping
If Negotiations Produce an Agreement That Reduces Pressure on Tehran, the Regime Will Prioritize Rebuilding Its Security Capabilities
The Transfer Cannot Proceed Without Moscow’s Approval
Araghchi Claims That the War Occurred Because Tehran Refused Concessions That Would Limit Uranium Enrichment
The Daily Reality Confronting Ordinary Iranians Stands in Stark Contrast to the Rhetoric of Regime Officials
Tehran Is Showing That It Is Certainly Willing to Push the Envelope
In U.S. Hands, Qeshm Would Flip the Script—Iran No Longer Could Easily Target the Strait of Hormuz