Against the backdrop of a vast array of Western sanctions on Russia over the Ukrainian conflict, Moscow has rerouted land transportation through Turkey to circumvent restrictions, a survey of the data shows.
The number of Russian trucks that transported goods to Russia had increased to 10,956 this year as of November 30 as opposed to some 2-3,000 on average in previous years. In the same period, 18,804 Turkish trucks made trips to Russia, carrying various exported goods.
Similarly, the number of Turkish trucks carrying imported goods to Turkey from Russia was 13,648, and the number of Russian trucks on that route was 7,445 in the same period.
The spike in the number of both Russian and Turkish trucks that transported goods to and from Russia came after a protocol signed between Turkish and Russian delegations on May 16, 2022, less than two months after Russia invaded Ukrainian territories.
The meeting, held under the Joint Commission on Land Transportation, saw a sharp change in the Russian position on maximum transit quotas awarded to Turkish truckers. Russian representatives agreed to increase the annual truck quota for the Turkish side from 8,000 to 20,000 for transportation that is destined to end in Russia and from 6,000 to 35,000 for transit transportation to third countries via Russia.
The sharp change in the Russian position on truck permits provided to Turkey is harbinger of more to come as Turkey opted out of joining Western sanctions, remaining the only NATO ally not enforcing punitive measures against Russia. Turkey has become a hub for Russian oligarchs, who have scrambled to keep their wealth and assets intact and parked in Turkey.
Turkey has become a hub for Russian oligarchs, who have scrambled to keep their wealth and assets intact and parked in Turkey.
Although Turkish commercial trucks face an annual cap on the number of travel certificates for Russia, there is no corresponding cap on the Turkish side for Russian trucks. That means Russia can send as many trucks as it wants to and through Turkey without any limits.
The opposition in Turkey is concerned that the timing for the approval of the land transportation agreement may not be good considering that Turkey has already faced a barrage of criticism in the West for not joining the sanctions on Russia and was also accused of undermining them. The issue was raised during deliberations on the agreement in parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee on December 13. Lawmaker Utku Çakırözer expressed the concern that Turkey may be considered a sanctions buster and be punished for it.
“Even if we are not a party to the sanctions, we say at every opportunity that we should avoid being perceived as a country that violates or exploits the sanctions,” he said. However, the government representatives rejected the lawmaker’s concerns.
According to Deputy Foreign Minister Faruk Kaymakçı, Turkey has already rejected a number of proposals from Russia that could amount to violations of Western sanctions but complained about the pressure from the EU on individuals and companies that invest in Turkey. He declined to provide exact figures on the number of people and companies that the EU has raised as sanction busters in Turkey but said talks between the Turkish and EU sides were ongoing.
Turkey’s position on sanctions was red flagged by European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell in a letter to the EU Parliament according to a German media report on December 11. Borrell said Turkey’s continued policy of “not joining the EU’s restrictive measures against Russia” and the deepening economic ties between Turkey and Russia is “a cause for great concern.” He warned that Turkey should not offer Russia any workarounds to sanctions.
Five days later, Erdoğan fired back at Borrell, branding his remarks as “very ugly.”
Borrell has neither the qualifications nor the ability to make such decisions. Who is he to assess our ties to Russia with respect to sanctions?
“Borrell can’t define and formalize our relations with Russia. He has neither the qualifications nor the ability to make such decisions. Who is he to assess our ties to Russia with respect to sanctions?” the Turkish president said.
However it is not just the EU that has been raising Turkey’s position with Russia on sanctions. On December 15, Ambassador James O’Brien, the head of the US State Department’s Office of Sanctions Coordination, said the US will take action against lack of compliance with Russia sanctions in Turkey. “We have been extremely clear with both the Turkish government and with the Turkish private sector that we expect compliance with the sanctions,” he said, adding that “we’re very clear that where our interests require us to enforce our sanctions we will, and we will impose sanctions as needed.”
The Erdoğan government publicly and repeatedly announced that it would not join the Western sanctions on Russia, a policy that helped many Russians to use Turkey as an outlet to escape punitive measures.
