As Iran War Enters 6th Week, Escalation Looks the Most Likely Scenario

The U.S.-Israeli Campaign Against Iran Reached Its Five-Week Mark on Saturday, with No Clear Mechanism to End the Conflict in Sight

Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119) fires a Tomahawk Land Attack Missile (TLAM) in support of Operation Epic Fury, Feb. 28, 2026. (U.S. Navy photo)

Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119) fires a Tomahawk Land Attack Missile (TLAM) in support of Operation Epic Fury, Feb. 28, 2026. (U.S. Navy photo)

U.S. Navy Photo/U.S. Central Command Public Affairs

The US-Israeli campaign against Iran reached its five-week mark on Saturday, with no clear mechanism to end the conflict in sight.

Five weeks of running to shelters and mass casualty events from Iranian missiles seems like an eternity to many Israelis, but it is still within the 4-6 week timeline offered by the White House early in the war.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, more disciplined than US President Donald Trump, has preferred not to give firm estimates on how long the war might last, but said last week it was “definitely beyond the halfway point” in terms of its missions.

Trump’s attempts to bring the conflict to a successful termination through direct talks with the Iranians seem to be leading nowhere, as expected.

Mediators told The Wall Street Journal on Friday that negotiations have hit a “dead end.” Trump, meanwhile, extended his deadline for Iran a second time, vowing to rain “hell” on the country if it fails to reach a ceasefire deal or open the Strait of Hormuz by Monday.

Published originally on April 5, 2026.

Read the full article at the Times of Israel.

Lazar Berman is the diplomatic correspondent at the Times of Israel, where he also covers Christian Affairs. He holds an M.A. in Security Studies from Georgetown University and taught at Salahuddin University in Iraqi Kurdistan. Berman is a reserve captain in the IDF’s Commando Brigade and served in a Bedouin unit during his active service.
See more from this Author
Iran Is Perhaps Willing to Make Some Limited Concessions on Enrichment
The IDF Is Now Scrambling to Find Technological and Tactical Solutions to the Growing Hezbollah Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Threat
It Is Hard to Think of an Image That Could Be More Damaging to Israel on the World Stage Right Now
See more on this Topic
Turkey’s Prison Population Had Exceeded 420,000 Inmates as of May 2026, Far Surpassing the System’s Official Capacity
Israel Is Evidently Unable to Develop a Policy or Strategy Able to Finally Place Relations with Its Smaller Northern Neighbor on a Firm and Stable Footing
Erdoğan’s Repression Is No Longer Only a Turkish Human Rights Crisis, but a Threat to U.S. Interests and Regional Stability