Hezbollah
Berri’s Death Could Mean the End of the Amal Movement, or at Least Its Relevance in Lebanese Politics
In Nubl and al-Zahara’, Private Mourning Continues While Public Religious Displays Remain Curtailed and Sectarian Reconciliation Remains Distant
The Agreement Preserves Jerusalem’s Freedom of Action for as Long as the Sovereignty of Its Northern Neighbor Remains Fictitious and Iran’s Proxy Remains the Strongest Force There
Democracies Increasingly Recognize That Global Supply Chains Are Liabilities During Prolonged Conflicts
Israel Has Sought Throughout to Detach Its Battle with the Iranian Proxy Group Hezbollah in Lebanon from the Negotiations
Trump’s Actions Suggest He Wants Competing Power Blocs Based on Shared Geography and Historical Linkages in the Middle East
Trump May Describe the Agreement as a Sign of Iran’s Absolute Surrender, but Such Spin Has No Resonance in Lebanon
De la Espriella Has Framed His Support for Israel as a Duty to Defend Judeo-Christian Principles Underpinning Western Civilization
The Movement Presents Itself as a Pragmatic Lebanese Institutional Force, but It Remains Entangled with Hezbollah’s Power
Tehran Has Emerged from This Last Chapter Strengthened on the Strategic Level
The Problem Is That Hezbollah Continues to Pose an Existential Threat to Israel
Nour News Framed the Postponement of Talks Not as a Crisis but as Part of a Broader Struggle over the Post-War Order
The Current MoU Appears to Signal the U.S. Desire to Quit the Fight
The Post-October 7 Wars, Which Came with Expectations and Promises of ‘Total Victory,’ Are Over, as Are Their Illusions
Iran Demands That Any Agreement on the Strait of Hormuz and the Nuclear Program Include a Cessation of Israeli Operations Against Hezbollah
A NATO Member That Shields Hamas, Threatens Israel, and Pressures Cyprus and Greece Should Face Consequences
Egypt’s Refusal to Confront Hamas Exposes the Gaza Stabilization Force’s Fatal Mandate Problem
The Obstacle to Peace Between Israel and Lebanon Is an Armed Non-State Militia Actor—Hezbollah—That Pledges Allegiance to Iran and That Wants to Stay Dominant in Lebanon
Jerusalem Has Made Clear That Tehran’s Insistence on Linking Any Deal to a Ceasefire in Lebanon Will Not Constrain Its Response to Hezbollah Attacks
Iran May Believe That Escalation Can Alter the Strategic Equation, Increase Pressure on Washington, and Secure Concessions