Turkey’s Hold over Occupied Cyprus is Breaking. Don’t Reinforce It

Turkish Cypriots Are Creating Political Space That the United States Can Use to Constrain a Rival’s Reach

Old Town of Nicosia, Cyprus.

Old Town of Nicosia, Cyprus.

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Turkish Cypriots have spent the past year resisting the policies the Turkish government claims to carry out in their name. Turkish Cypriots have protested political interference, media pressure, and religious mandates imposed by Ankara. They have rejected symbolic displays of Turkish power and questioned the legitimacy of the political and administrative structures Turkey backs in the northern portion of the island that the Turkish Army occupies. And now, they have taken their dissent beyond local protests and into international legal channels.

That step—a letter urging Cyprus’s president to refer Turkey’s actions to international legal review—is only the latest move. The pattern began earlier.

Turkish Cypriots have protested political interference, media pressure, and religious mandates imposed by Ankara.

Earlier this year, Turkish Cypriot teachers, students, and parents publicly opposed the introduction of headscarves in public schools. They called it an attempt to reshape their society along ideological lines. Before that, residents took to the streets to protest the construction of a Turkish-funded presidential palace complex in the north. Demonstrators said it was not a gift but an insult—a palace they didn’t ask for, replacing the democratic structures they wanted.

Journalists spoke next. They reported direct pressure to align with Ankara’s political priorities. Editors said they were told which stories to run and how to cover them. Civil society leaders warned of surveillance and threats. These concerns were not limited to any one party or institution. They reflected a broad resistance to outside control.

This month’s letter to the president of Cyprus is the most direct step so far. The signatories called for the referral of Turkey’s actions in the north to international legal review. But the letter also did something else: It acknowledged the authority of the Republic of Cyprus. By doing so, it rejected the political framing that Ankara insists on—one that denies the legitimacy of the Republic of Cyprus and claims exclusive representation of Turkish Cypriots through Turkish-backed structures, especially the unrecognized state that Turkey created to legitimize occupation and speak on Turkish Cypriot’s behalf. The people who sent the letter made a different choice. They did not appeal to Turkey. They appealed to the state that Ankara refuses to recognize.

That matters. For years, Turkey has claimed to act on behalf of Turkish Cypriots. It has used this claim to justify its military presence and occupation in the north, and its broader role in the region. That claim now faces open rejection from the very people it is supposed to serve.

The people on whose behalf Turkey claims to speak are making themselves heard. If the United States continues to treat the north as an extension of Turkish policy, it will miss an opportunity to reduce Ankara’s leverage without direct confrontation.

Turkey uses its role in northern Cyprus to assert maritime claims, expand its presence in the Eastern Mediterranean, and justify broader security activity. That role depends on the idea that Turkish Cypriots support it. Many now reject that idea, publicly and in sustained ways.

The more loudly Turkey reacts, the more clearly it reveals the stakes.

The reaction from Ankara has made clear Turkey takes this dissent seriously. Government-aligned media described the letter as a betrayal and framed the meeting with Cyprus’s president as a national disgrace. Editorials accused the Turkish Cypriot signatories of undermining national unity and siding with foreign agendas. This is not the response to symbolic protest; it is the response to a political act that threatens the foundations of Turkey’s claim to speak on behalf of the north. The more loudly Turkey reacts, the more clearly it reveals the stakes.

This matters beyond Cyprus. Turkey has expanded its influence from Gaza to the Sahel, combining military deployments with diplomatic and economic outreach. It has deepened cooperation with powers like Russia and China, both of which challenge U.S. priorities globally. And it has grown increasingly hostile toward Israel, a U.S. ally with long-standing strategic partnerships in the region. In this context, Cyprus is not peripheral. It is one of the platforms Turkey uses to extend its regional posture.

Washington should not continue to endorse a narrative that no longer reflects reality. Doing so would strengthen Ankara’s position at a time when its influence can be checked at minimal cost and without direct confrontation. This is not about rhetoric or diplomatic signaling. It is about shifting the balance of power in measurable ways. Turkish Cypriots are creating political space that the United States can use to constrain a rival’s reach—not through intervention, but through recognition.

This is a rare moment when internal resistance aligns with broader U.S. strategic interests. It may not last. Ignoring it would serve no clear interest and would mean missing an opening that cannot be resurrected later.

Nicoletta Kouroushi is a political scientist and journalist based in Cyprus. Her work has appeared in publications such as Phileleftheros newspaper, Modern Diplomacy, and the Geostrategic Forecasting Corporation. She holds an MSc in International and European Studies from the University of Piraeus.
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