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A soldier salutes the flag of Somalia.
Middle East Forum Observer
Somalia’s Independence Day Celebrates a Union That Was Always a Mirage
A government that cannot hold its existing federation together has no credible claim over a territory that left 35 years ago
July 1, 2026
 · 
Siyad Madey
Israel initiated war against an enemy that is both sophisticated, well-armed, and manyfold larger than itself. Doing so without an in-depth political intelligence analysis of the likely changes at Iran’s top leadership, as well as the degree of commitment to the war on the part of Israel’s ally, was a strategic defeat waiting to happen.
Middle East Forum Online
The Assassination of Ali Khamenei Led to a Revolution That Only Strengthened Iran—And Israel Is in a Pickle
After the Assassination of the Supreme Leader and Other Senior Officials, the New Regime in Iran Is More Reckless, More Radical and Arrogant
June 30, 2026
 · 
Amatzia Baram
Unless the U.S. demonstrates that alignment with Washington does not expose Gulf states to Iranian retaliation without American protection, the American security framework in the Gulf that four decades of forward presence, basing agreements, and defense cooperation have sustained will not survive the next crisis, because its principal beneficiaries will have concluded that it does not work.
Middle East Forum Online
The Unmaking of America’s Persian Gulf Order
The Lesson of the MOU, as Gulf Governments Currently Read It, Is That the American Security Relationship Is an Input Into Iranian Strategic Calculations Rather than a Constraint Upon Them
June 30, 2026
 · 
Hussein Aboubakr Mansour